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PICKS FROM JOE’S: Negative Nancy Edition

This weekend has lots of games I would probably be better off not watching.

NCAA Football: Oklahoma State at Texas Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

Following a weekend where there was really only ONE entertaining game, I am greeted with another weekend of mostly unwatchable football, PLUS a game that I should not watch but will likely endure every second.

Texas and Baylor get the weekend off as the Longhorns try to figure out why five-star talent continues to disappoint. Mike Gundy went to the next level in referring to players as, instead of numbers, “that guy” (Bijan Robinson) and “this guy” (Breece Hall) as he pointed in different directions, and it looks like Spencer Rattler is transferring:

On to this week’s mostly atrocious line-up of games:

#3 Oklahoma at Kansas (12pm ET on ESPN)
OU -38.5
O/U 66.5

@RedDirtSport filling up my timeline on Twitter this week with Kansas football bullshit is quite literally one of the most disgusting things he's ever done on that platform.

Kansas State at Texas Tech (12pm ET on FS1)
Texas Tech -1.0
O/U 60.5

Chris Kleiman is suddenly in a rather uncomfy position with the Wildcats sitting at 0-3 in the conference coming off a not-so-great performance against Iowa State this past week (thanks again for getting the Cyclones some confidence going into this week's game with OSU). The Fighting Yosemite Sams used Kansas to "right" the ship, so this should be a tough test for KState. The line is definitely of the "pick the winner" type, so I'll go with Kleiman to scratch out a much-needed victory and the over.

West Virginia at TCU (7:30pm ET on ESPNU)
TCU -4.5
O/U 57

This is the evening game for the Big 12, so if anyone needs to have dinner with the in-laws this would be the time to do it. The Lizard People will get whiplash as they go from dealing with the offenses of Texas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma to the broken-down jalopy the Mountaineers roll out on that side of the ball. Given that, Neal Brown's group is coming off a bye week while TCU has been pounded on by Texas and OU over two of the last three weeks, which could provide a boost to the visitors.

Oh who are we kidding. West Virginia sucks. Horned Lizards should cover and I'll take the under.

#8 Oklahoma State at Iowa State (3:30pm on FOX)
Iowa St -7.0 (WTF??)
O/U 47.0

How I wish my son had a soccer game I have to coach at this time, like last weekend. It would be so much better for my mental and physical health. Unfortunately I will have to tune in for something that I want no part of. Unlike the Feels Like 45 Podcast, I am NOT feeling warm and fuzzy about this game. Of course the Bloody Mustard Whirly Birds got their act together at the expense of KState, so Broctober is in full swing thanks to a sweep of State of Kansas. The only good thing about this game is that it is NOT being played on a non-Saturday night later in November.

The Cowboys are 8-2 over the last 10 games in the series, including four straight in Ames, so it would not be unreasonable to consider OSU winning this, but I'm holding my breath every week waiting for the game to occur where the offense will need to carry the defense for some period of time. Iowa State doesn't have an "explosive" offense and has a pretty good defense, so I'm fully expecting this to be exactly when this happens. The only thing I have confidence in is that this game will be a brutally physical matchup that again comes down to the 4th quarter. GREAT….

Astonishingly, while OSU comes in undefeated and ranked in the Top Ten, the Cyclones are favored BY A TOUCHDOWN as of this writing. That's a very strange Vegas line to go along with a low O/U, so I don't know what to think about this game other than the moneymakers in the desert don't think a lot of Oklahoma State's ability to score points. I'm feeling that same thing every week, but the Cowboys are historically great at covering the spread as a road dog, so I'll go with the Birds to win, OSU to cover, and ABSOLUTELY 1000% the under.

See you on the other side…