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2020 NCAA wrestling tournament simulation: Boo Lewallen wins NCAA title as Oklahoma State takes 3rd

Nick Piccininni dropped his 125-pound title bout to Iowa’s Spencer Lee.

2019 NCAA Div I Wrestling Championships Session Six Photo by Hunter Martin/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Oklahoma State redshirt junior Boo Lewallen won his first NCAA individual championship with a 4-2 decision against No. 2 Austin O’Connor of North Carolina in the 149-pound final in Quant Wrestling’s D1 national tournament simulation.

OSU redshirt senior Nick Piccininni, however, dropped a 15-8 decision to top-seeded Spencer Lee of Iowa at 125. It was the Hawkeye wrestler’s third straight title.

The Cowboys took third with 85 points and six All-Americans. Iowa had 135 points and three individual champions (Lee at 125, Austin DeSanto at 133, Alex Marinelli at 165) to claim its first NCAA title in 10 years, while Penn State had 106.5 points for second after a four-year title run. Ohio State (62) and Nebraska (57) were fourth and fifth, respectively. The Buckeyes were the only other program with multiple champions (Luke Pletcher at 141 and Kollin Moore at 197).

OSU redshirt junior Dusty Hone and redshirt sophomore Wyatt Sheets each reached the semifinal round, but lost 13-7 to Penn State’s Nick Lee and 7-5 to North Carolina State’s Hayden Hildlay. Hone dropped his next two bouts 10-0 to Nebraska’s Chad Red and 7-1 to Iowa State’s Ian Parker to take sixth at 141, while Sheets won 13-5 against Michigan’s Will Lewan then fell 11-8 to Rider’s Jesse Dellavecchia for fourth at 157.

Both OSU redshirt freshman Travis Wittlake and redshirt junior Dakota Geer took seventh at 165 and 197, respectively. Wittlake scored a 12-4 major decision against Virginia Tech’s David McFadden, while Geer had a high-scoring 14-10 win against Cornell’s Ben Darmstadt.

Quant Wrestling has done a tournament simulation since the real tournament was canceled due to the coronavirus. You can find brackets and results on TrackWrestling.

Oklahoma State results

125: Nick Piccininni - 2nd
133: Reece Witcraft - DNP
141: Dusty Hone - 6th
149: Boo Lewallen - 1st
157: Wyatt Sheets - 4th
165: Travis Wittlake - 7th
174: Joe Smith - DNP
184: Anthony Montalvo - DNP
197: Dakota Geer - 7th

Final results

125: Spencer Lee (Iowa) DEC Nicholas Piccininni (Oklahoma State), 15-8
133: Austin DeSanto (Iowa) DEC Roman Bravo-Young (Penn State), 6-4
141: Luke Pletcher (Ohio State) DEC Nick Lee (Penn State), 6-5
149: Boo Lewallen (Oklahoma State) DEC Austin O`Connor (North Carolina), 4-2
157: Ryan Deakin (Northwestern) MD Hayden Hidlay (NC State), 12-1
165: Alex Marinelli (Iowa) DEC Vincenzo Joseph (Penn State), 1-0
174: Mark Hall (Penn State) DEC Jordan Kutler (Lehigh), 11-5
184: Taylor Lujan (Northern Iowa) DEC Aaron Brooks (Penn State), 2-1
197: Kollin Moore (Ohio State) DEC Christian Brunner (Purdue), 12-7
285: Mason Parris (Michigan) DEC Gable Steveson (Minnesota), 5-0

Top 10 team results

  1. Iowa - 135
    2. Penn State - 106.5
    3. Oklahoma State - 85
    4. Ohio State - 62
    5. Nebraska - 57
    6. Northwestern - 55.5
    7. Wisconsin - 50
    8. Minnesota - 48.5
    9. Lehigh - 47
    10. Purdue - 45.5

A note from Quant Wrestling on its prediction methodology: In order to predict the brackets in each weight class, we employ a Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling technique. We evaluated the performance of each wrestler, taking into account their points scored and the opponent strength in each of their historical matches. From that, we constructed a probability distribution for how many points they would score in each match in the tournament given the strength of their opponent. We did the same for their opponent and used randomizing techniques for both to derive a score for each wrestler in the match. Using this technique, we built out the brackets.